Sony Dwi Kuncoro (@3.0) vs Kodai Naraoka (@1.33)
11-09-2019

Our Prediction:

Kodai Naraoka will win

Sony Dwi Kuncoro – Kodai Naraoka Match Prediction | 11-09-2019 09:40

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But Im not a statistician and frankly, to conclude that mens singles simply shows the tiniest blip among five tiny blips just wouldnt be any fun! Outside the scope here is the notion of statistical significance. True, this analysis does stoop to comparing 0 mens singles titles to 6 mens doubles Superseries titles and that may sound a whole lot like quibbling. After all, those 6 doubles titles were all won by exactly 2 teenagers and each discipline has had 139 champions since the 2007 Malaysia Open.

Still, the coincidence of the primes of Susi Susanti, Camilla Martin, Ye Zhaoying, and Bang Soo Hyun was not enough to prevent Ra Kyung Min, Mia Audina, Gong Zhichao, or Gong Ruina from winning big as teenagers in the 90s. And Prakash Padukone, Liem Swie King, Misbun Sidek, and Morten Frost had all hit their stride by the time Icuk Sugiarto won the Indonesia Open at 19.

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Where the boys are: Why is mens singles the exception to the prodigy pattern?

Christie just turned 20 himself, a couple of weeks after winning the SEA Games gold and a couple of days before reaching his first Superseries final. Back in 2014, we did a poll on this very topic wherein we asked Badzine readers who they thought would be the next teen to title. At the time, Viktor Axelsen had just turned 20, our readers chose Jonatan Christie (pictured right), who had 3 more teen years to come into his own, and we closed it down as soon as Wang Tzu Wei won a Grand Prix title that spring.

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Im sorry, I dont think this is the ideal question. In my point of view, the value of a player doesnt depend on how early he could win the title but on how long he could stay on court. A player could win titles at the age of 15, but this kind of thing doesnt mean anything. If he could win titles at the age of 15 and keep playing on the professional court until the age of 35, I believe this will be the most valuable thing to him and to the sport.

Actually, if you look at those 15 teenagers who did manage to reach mens singles finals in Grand Prix or Grand Prix Gold events, only one has managed to grab his first Superseries title and World Championship for that matter, since were talking about Viktor Axelsen. Some of those teen finals are quite recent like Kantaphon Wangcharoens silver at the 2017 Thailand Masters and there also are some recent 20th birthdays such as those of Thailand Open runner-up Jonatan Christie and 2014 Indonesia Masters finalist Firman Abdul Kholik. But 10 of them were prior to 2015, and even the first teen Grand Prix mens singles finalist 2009 New Zealand Open runner-up Wong Wing Ki is still in the hunt for his first Superseries title.

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We cant ignore what else has happened since the 2014 poll. Axelsen has become World Champion, one player from our poll has multiple Superseries titles, two others have been in Superseries finals, and two won their first major titles at age 20. As to why teenagers arent winning mens singles titles or when the next such occasion will arise, we can continue to speculate. But meanwhile, a new generation is taking over maybe slowly, but surely, and not always early.