Portugal (@12.0) vs Italy (@1.005)

Our Prediction:

Italy will win

Portugal – Italy Match Prediction | 12-09-2019 11:15

Andre Silva scored the winner against Italy in September while, last month, Silva and namesake Bernardo scored either side of an own goal in a 3-2 win in Poland. Portugal followed that up by beating Scotland 3-1 in a friendly, with Helder Costa, Eder and Bruma scoring. Portugal have bounced back well from a disappointing World Cup last-16 exit, with a 1-1 draw with Croatia followed by three consecutive wins since the summer.

Portugal host Italy in one of the most exciting high-profile clashes on Monday evening at Estadio da Luz. It will mark the UEFA Nations League debut for Selecao das Quinas who will be looking to get off to a victorious start and claim the very top of the standings after Italy and Poland drew 1-1 on the opening day at Stadio Renato DallAra.

In September, in the UEFA Nations League, they then won again by the same 1-0 scoreline Andre Silva the goalscorer this time. Having lost every single game between the two nations between 1980 and 2008, Portugal hit back to win a friendly in June 2015 as Eder scored the only goal of the game. Portugal have only won six of their previous 26 matches against Italy, with the Italians winning 18, but the last two matches have both gone Portugals way.

Italy Team News

Italy gave up a lot of chances against Poland, and if Andre Silva - who scored a hat-trick on his La Liga debut last month - or alternative striking options are in clinical form, Portugal will score goals. If anyone can get the best out of Balotelli, it's his former club manager Mancini, but the likes of Andrea Belloti or Ciro Immobile will be stepping up this time. With home advantage too, it is easy to see why - even without Ronaldo - the European champions are favourites to move straight to the top of their UEFA Nations League group with a win against Italy. Cristiano Ronaldo's absence is undoubtedly a big loss, but without him the likes of Bernardo Silva can step up and prove Portuguese football has a future beyond their superstar forward. With both sides having drawn three of their last five matches, betting on the draw could be a sensible option - but those recent records do not tell the full story. For Italy, meanwhile, Roberto Mancini is still searching for his best XI and enigmatic Mario Balotelli did not help his case for a regular starting point much good with a frustrating performance against Poland. Nevertheless, with the experience of Pepe at the back and rising star Ruben Neves making things tick in midfield, Portugal have a strong core to their team.

Expert Verdict: Portugal have won two from two so far in the UEFA Nations League and can guarantee top spot if they win away to Italy. Roberto Mancini's side got back to winning ways in their most recent match, in Poland, but Portugal are difficult to beat at the best of times - and it is the visitors who are favourites for this one.

They managed to beat Liechtenstein, Bosnia and Herzegovina and Armenia, all by the same result, 2:0. Their defense is really strong in all matches in this group, we saw under 2.5 goals. Apart from losing the match against their next opponents, the Scandinavians played superbly in this qualifying cycle so far. Also, in 13 out of the last 14 matches in all competitions, under 2.5 goals were scored. So, the upcoming game might be similar.

Giorgio Chiellini Set to win his 100th cap, as captain, and will want to mark the occasion with a clean sheet having helped Juventus keep plenty this season. Lorenzo Insigne The Napoli forward has been in the goals this season, with ten so far, including three in the Champions League. Leonardo Bonucci Alongside his fellow Juventus centre-back, the experienced defender will be key in Italys bid to nullify the Portuguese attacking threat.

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Therefore, you should stay awhile and read this match preview to find the best betting tips and correct score predictions for this Sunday game. However, they had some interesting battles over the years, so I dont expect an easy game for the Azzuri. Finland vs Italy prediction is here before the European qualifiers round 6 match. This game will be played at Ratina Stadium in Tampere. However, they are facing one of the favorites, which is heavily backed by most of the bookmakers to win the upcoming match. The home team is one of the most pleasant surprises in this qualifying cycle.

In the last five games they played against each other, we saw under 2.5 goals, which confirms our previous prediction. In their previous ten meetings, the Scandinavians failed to record a win, the Azzuri had nine victories, while one match ended in a draw. H2H records are showing that you should back the visiting team to win the upcoming game.

They have, however, scored in seven of these games, and Portugal have failed to score in just one of their 14 home games since they lifted that trophy in Paris. Portugal have kept just one clean sheet in their last six home matches, and Italy have conceded in eight of their ten away games since the end of Euro 2016. Indeed, these similar issues have seen both teams decline in defensive stability recently.

Italy ended a five-match winning streak when they beat Poland in Chorzow last time out Cristiano Biraghi scoring a stoppage-time winner. In September, they drew 1-1 with Poland before the 1-0 defeat to Portugal in the UEFA Nations League. They had otherwise drawn three and lost two of their previous five games, including the 1-1 draw with Ukraine in which Federico Bernardeschi scored.