Oklahoma State (@1.11) vs Oregon State (@6.2)

Our Prediction:

Oklahoma State will win

Oklahoma State – Oregon State Match Prediction | 28-08-2019 22:30

After a hot 3-0 start, including a win over a top 25 Boise State team, Oklahoma State was blown out by a terrible Texas Tech team. How did they follow that up? By beating a top 10 Texas team. The Cowboys had an odd 2018. They recovered with a win against Kansas, then lost back to back games against Iowa State and Kansas State.

All four of last years starters are gone, including the teams best pass rusher, Jordan Braiford. If the linebacker corps looks bare, the defensive line is even worse. The team brought in two transfers for its Defensive Tackles, Israel Antwine from Colorado and Sione Asi from JUCO Snow College, but for now theyre second on the teams depth chart. Theres little experience at Defensive End, with redshirt freshman Tyler Lacy and redshirt sophomore Brock Martiin getting the starting jobs.

The Cowboys rush defense gave up 523 attempts for 2,410 yards last season, putting them in 92nd place in the country against the run. Oklahoma State was 102nd in college football in points surrendered on defense with 423. The Oklahoma State pass defense also surrendered a total of 3,472 yards in the air, which was 123rd overall in total pass defense. That placed them 56th in Division 1. They gave up a total of 5,883 yards on D, which was 119th in the nation. They had 81 penalties for 677 yards on defense last year. The Cowboys were 95th in yards per play allowed with 6. Opponent offenses completed 280 throws on 452 attempts against the Oklahoma State Cowboys defense last season, ranking them 121st and 107th in the country.


The NCAAF Pick for this game is the Oregon State Beavers +15.5. Predicted to run away from this contest is the Oklahoma State Cowboys to a score of 47-29 to cover ATS. The Beavers WR Trevon Bradford (back) and DB Jalen Moore (hamstring) will not play in this match while nursing their injuries. DL Jeromy Reichner is out of the season with an ACL while TE Ralph Taufaasau will be on the sidelines to recover from his finger injury. Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Oregon State Beavers.

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This is a team that wants to pass, or at least they did. Of those, the departure of Offensive Coordinator Mike Yurcich is the most important. They averaged 500 yards and 38 points per game, Of the roughly 6500 yards the Cowboys accumulated over the season, 4000 were gained through the air. Yurcich was the architect of the Cowboys passing attack, and with his departure to Ohio State, Princeton OC Sean Gleason was given the opportunity to join MIke Gundys team. Several losses from the 2018 squad may change the nature of this unit. The Cowboys had one of the most high octane offenses in the country last season.

The Cowboys struggled way too much defensively last season, and now the entire defensive front has to be replaced. Theyre relating on transfers to fill in the gaps, and they wont be totally miserable, but considering the linebacking corps isnt going to be a rock, Oregon State needs to blast through the Cowboy defensive front and get the ground game going.

Oregon State Beavers VS Oklahoma State Cowboys

With a winnable trip to Hawaii to follow, and Cal Poly after that, an upset over the Cowboys should lead the way to a huge start. Coming off a rough first season under Jonathan Smith, this is Oregon States chance to make a big statement on a national scale as the last game on a Good Friday night of games.

They accumulated 79 punt return yards and averaged 7.9 yards per return, which was 76th in college football. Oregon State kickers made 92% of their extra points, going 35 for 38 last year. They returned 44 kicks for 808 yards on special teams, ranking 27th in kick return yardage. The Beavers attempted 20 field goals last season and made 12, which was 80th in D-1. That placed them 79th in Division 1 in punting average. Their kickers had a field goal percentage of 60%. The Oregon State Beavers averaged 18 yards per kick return and they were 78th in the country in all-purpose yards with 5,744. Oregon State was ranked 121st in the nation in punt returns with 10 last year. Their punters totaled 2,672 yards on 66 punts, averaging 41 yards per punt.

The teams third leading tackler, Kenneth Edison MacGruder, is also gone. The linebacker unit was inconsistent last year, and lost their best player and the teams top tackler, Justin Phillips. Senior Calvin Bundage returns, but has fallen behind Rodriguez on the depth chart after inconsistent play. The secondary has talent and depth, but the same cant be said for the other units.

The Beavers are 2-7 in its last 9 matches and its last 7 matches went over the totals in non-conference matches. There will be 7 starters on offense returning to Oregon State this season and 6 on the defense corner of the team. Jefferson did well last year rushing at 1380 yards on 12 TDs. Gebbia has RB Jermar Jefferson to pass to. Senior QB Jake Luton suffered numerous injuries in his past outings and Backup QB Tristan Gebbia has the go signal to start against the Cowboys.

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Defenses may lack perfect conditioning in Week Zero games, but are often able to confuse QBs with fancy new blitzes in Week 1. But the rising O/U may be an even better opportunity to fade the public. Given that we dont even know who either quarterback is going to be yet, we cant count on them to combine for 74 points.