Air Force (@1.47) vs Navy (@2.63)

Our Prediction:

Air Force will win

Air Force – Navy Match Prediction | 05-10-2019 15:30

But dont try to sell that rationale to an Air Force team that could have won 10 games in 2018 by that same virtue of losses by a single score. The optimist might say the Mids overall record is misleading, seeing as they lost four games by a touchdown or less; two of which were lost on converted two-point conversions.

That is a testament to what they have been able to accomplish in Annapolis. If Navy wants to overtake Army, and by that Air Force to climb back atop the mountain of Military Academies, they have to see marked improvement on multiple fronts. While last year was one to forget, Ken Niumatalolo and staff are no strangers to success. In fact, its the high bar which they have set that makes last season at Navy really stand out.

Jacobi Owens leads the team with 203 yards, while Tyler Williams has reached the end zone three times. Its no secret that Air Force is going to run the ball as well; they have six guys all over 100 yards rushing on the season. Quarterback Nate Romine isnt exactly accurate, but he has put up 364 yards for three touchdowns this season while rushing for 153 yards.

But predominantly this seemed to be a product of moving a significant share of his repetitions under center at quarterback where defenses were better able to dictate terms. A lot of Perrys drop in production could be attributed to an uncharacteristic season which Navys offensive line was not able to consistently establish itself as it has in past.


The Navy defense is also still a little bit untested, so they may struggle a bit against an Air Force team that has already faced off against powerhouses like Michigan and SDSU. I would be really surprised if this game didnt stay close for four quarters before one team manages to pull away at the very end. I think the best option in this spot is to side with the battle-tested Falcons, especially since they just have to stay within a touchdown. Although I expect Navy to remain undefeated, especially since they are playing at home, I do think that Air Force is capable of winning this game outright. Again, that isnt the likeliest scenario, but if they can stay within striking distance for long enough, (or even build an early lead) they are talented enough to pull off the upset. In rivalry games between two somewhat comparable teams, (skill-wise) it often turns out to be a real nail-biter that comes down to the final few plays.

The clock wont stop much whileboth running games will try to exert its power over the opposing defenses. Pride is on the line as the two service academies battle for superiority. Air Force, if needed, has much more experience passing the ball than Navy, so that is a wrinkle it could use.

The Air Force Falcons visit Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium in Annapolis, Maryland to play the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday. Air Force is 31 on the season following its 41-24 victory over San Jose State. Hammond then led or finished four other Air Force drives that resulted in points. Donnie Hammond III sat out until the third quarter resting a sore ankle and immediately threw a 64-yard touchdown pass.

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Navy ended up with the 5th ranked rushing offense in 2018, averaging just over 275 yards per game. Against Air Force, the Mids were only able to muster 129 yards on the ground. In spite of racking up 35 points in a game that showcased two time-consuming ball control offenses, it was on the defensive side of the ball that the Falcons really separated themselves.